Trevor Lawrence #16 of the Jacksonville Jaguars . Bob Levey/Getty Images/AFP
After an exciting Week 1 of action, the NFL is back in full swing and we’ve got our eyes on an AFC matchup featuring the Denver Broncos and the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Broncos were victorious in their opening game against Houston, while the Jaguars suffered in their opener against Houston. These are two young teams looking to turn their fortunes around so let’s break this game down to see where the value is.
Denver Broncos vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Sunday, September 19, 2021 – 01:00 PM EDT at TIAA Bank Field
Broncos Come in as Road Favorites
According to the SBR odds page, the Denver Broncos come into this game as -6 point favorites on the road which probably says more about Jacksonville than Denver. The reality is Denver is probably not a touchdown better than any team in the NFL on the road. Jacksonville could qualify, however, if one is available. The average total at the most popular online sportsbooks is 45.5.
The Denver Broncos’ best wide receiver, Jerry Jeudy will be out of action. He sustained what appeared to be a serious ankle injury. It was only a minor ankle injury, but the test showed that it had been corrected. You can see how little Jacksonville is thought of by the oddsmakers from the fact that Broncos are still in favor by nearly a touchdown.
We’ll get to them soon, but it has to be said that both the offensive and defensive sides of the ball performed well against the Giants. Although Teddy Bridgewater is not a great quarterback, he’s a professional who minimizes his mistakes. While that might not sound like a ringing endorsement of his abilities, it’s clear that he makes them a better team than last year’s starter Drew Lock.
Jacksonville Looked Really Bad in Week 1
One thing that is hard about capping the NFL is not overreacting to what happened in the previous week’s game, especially in the early part of the season. Sometimes it takes a while for teams to realize who they are. Other times, teams start out hot and then reality hits as the weeks progress. Other times, the matchup was just not good for your specific style of play. Although I don’t know which of these applies in Jacksonville, I do know that Trevor Lawrence Jr and D.J Chark Jr were the only positives during Week 1.
Trevor Lawrence #16 for the Jacksonville Jaguars Carmen Mandato/Getty Images/AFP
Although Lawrence had three interceptions, he did make some spectacular throws. Although he made some poor throws, that’s part of being an NFL rookie. The Jags offense looked sloppy overall and that starts in the trenches where the offensive line got bullied. I don’t think that will change against Denver, who have a strong pass rush, particularly considering Von Miller’s performance against the Giants.
I don’t see any way that the Jaguars can slow Denver down in this contest. Even without Jeudy, the Broncos have weapons, starting with tight end Noah Fant who is a matchup nightmare. Other thing is Jacksonville’s run game. Melvin Gordon looks good in Week 1. If Bridgewater can play-action pass, I expect the Broncos to score at least 30+ in this game.
Noah Fant #87 for the Denver Broncos. Steph Chambers/Getty Images/AFP
As for Jacksonville, they showed me last week that they are going to fight until the bitter end and will give Lawrence as many reps as possible, regardless of the score which bodes well to the over. For my NFL pick, Lawrence doesn’t have to light up. However, I think he could get some scores to help push this over the 45.5 total.
NFL Pick: Jacksonville Over 45 (-110) with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
Jacksonville Over 45 (-110)
*The pick reflects the line at the moment the writer made the play, the odds at the beginning of this article show the live line movement. Since the lines might vary, don’t forget to refer back to our live odds.
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